Overconfidence Quotes

• La muerte segura de un artista es el exceso de confianza.

  Robin Trower

  Artist, Certain Death, Certain

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• Incompetence annoys me. Overconfidence terrifies me.

  Malcolm Gladwell

  Annoying, Incompetence

  "Gladwell packs UTC venue". www.timesfreepress.com. October 6, 2010.

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• Doubt is often better than overconfidence, for it leads to inquiry, and inquiry leads to invention.

  Hudson Maxim

  Doubt, Inquiry, Invention

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• ... overconfidence in one's own ability is the root of much evil. Vanity, egoism, is the deadliest of all characteristics. This vanity, combined with extreme ignorance of conditions the knowledge of which is the very A B C of business and of life, produces more shipwrecks and heartaches than any other part of our mental make-up.

  Alice Foote MacDougall

  Business, Ignorance, Roots

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• Courage is willingness to take the risk once you know the odds. Optimistic overconfidence means you are taking the risk because you don't know the odds. It's a big difference.

  Daniel Kahneman

  Optimistic, Mean, Odds

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• Overconfidence comes from fear and doubt, and you boast an ego when you're feeling less than.

  Nikki Sixx

  Ego, Feelings, Doubt

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• The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future.

  Daniel Kahneman

  Past, Illusion, Ability

  Daniel Kahneman (2011). “Thinking, Fast and Slow”, p.248, Macmillan

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• Doubt is not the enemy of justice; overconfidence is.

  Carol Tavris

  Justice, Doubt, Enemy

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• Overconfidence is a powerful source of illusions, primarily determined by the quality and coherence of the story that you can construct, not by its validity.

  Daniel Kahneman

  Powerful, Quality, Stories

  "Kahneman y Klein sobre decisiones estratégicas: ¿Cuándo puedes fiarte de tu instinto?". Entrevista con Gary Klein, bobmorris.biz. 25 de septiembre de 2016.

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• A veces es difícil aceptar, reconocer los propios errores, pero hay que hacerlo. Fui culpable de exceso de confianza y arrogancia, y fui castigado por ello.

  Mijaíl Gorbachov

  Mistake, Arrogance, Sometimes

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• Self esteem is not the same as being self centered, self absorbed or selfish. Self esteem is also not complacency or overconfidence, both of which and set us up for failure. Self esteem is a strong motivator to work hard. Self esteem is related to mental health and happiness.

  Glenn R. Schiraldi

  Strong, Self Esteem, Selfish

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• La incompetencia es la certeza en ausencia de experiencia. El exceso de confianza es la certeza en presencia de experiencia.

  Malcolm Gladwell

  Absence, Incompetence, Certainty

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• I'm very confident in what I do, but I'd like to think I don't ever show any kind of cockiness or overconfidence.

  David Wright

  Thinking, Kind, Cockiness

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• To a winner, complacency and overconfidence can be destructive. To losers, desperation and despondency are just as harmful.

  Bill Walsh

  Softbol, Deportes, Motivación

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• No creo que exista el exceso de confianza en el ajedrez. Siempre es mejor ser demasiado confiado que demasiado reacio.

  Magnus Carlsen

  Thinking, Chess, Reluctant

  Fuente: www.esquire.com

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• In strategic decisions, I'd be really concerned about overconfidence.

  Daniel Kahneman

  Decision, Concerned, Strategic

  "Kahneman y Klein sobre decisiones estratégicas: ¿Cuándo puedes fiarte de tu instinto?". Entrevista con Gary Klein, bobmorris.biz. 25 de septiembre de 2016.

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• People exaggerate their confidence in their plans - something we call the planning fallacy... The existence of the plan tends to induce overconfidence.

  Daniel Kahneman

  Confidence, People, Planning

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• Every woman knows what I'm talking about. It’s the presumption that makes it hard, at times, for any woman in any field; that keeps women from speaking up and from being heard when they dare; that crushes young women into silence by indicating, the way harassment on the street does, that this is not their world. It trains us in self-doubt and self-limitation just as it exercises men’s unsupported overconfidence.

  Rebecca Solnit

  Crush, Exercise, Men

  "Tomgram: Rebecca Solnit, The Archipelago of Arrogance". www.tomdispatch.com. April 13, 2008.

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• Ese es uno de los verdaderos peligros de la selección de líderes en muchas organizaciones: los líderes se seleccionan por exceso de confianza.

  Daniel Kahneman

  Real, Organización, Líder

  "Kahneman y Klein sobre decisiones estratégicas: ¿Cuándo puedes fiarte de tu instinto?". Entrevista con Gary Klein, bobmorris.biz. 25 de septiembre de 2016.

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• There's a lot of overconfidence about this bill. We're going to expose it. It will not pass.

  Jeff Sessions

  Immigration, Bills, Immigration Reform

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• In their leaders, advisers, and experts, people much prefer overconfidence, total certainty, to any kind of doubt.

  Michael Lewis

  People, Leader, Doubt

  Fuente: www.businessinsider.com

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• The hedge fund known as "Long Term Capital Management" collapsed last fall through overconfidence in its highly leveraged methods, despite I.Q.'s of its principals that must have averaged 160. Smart people aren't exempt from professional disasters from overconfidence. Often, they just run aground in the more difficult voyages they choose, relying on their self-appraisals that they have superior talents and methods.

  Charlie Munger

  Running, Smart, Fall

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• Except for some effects that I attribute mostly to age, my intuitive thinking is just as prone to overconfidence, extreme predictions, and the planning fallacy as it was before I made a study of these issues.

  Daniel Kahneman

  Thinking, Issues, Age

  Daniel Kahneman (2011). “Thinking, Fast and Slow”, p.475, Macmillan

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