Daniel Kahneman Quotes About Evidence

• The confidence people have in their beliefs is not a measure of the quality of evidence but of the coherence of the story the mind has managed to construct.

  Daniel Kahneman

  People, Mind, Quality

• Mood evidently affects the operation of System 1: when we are uncomfortable and unhappy, we lose touch with our intuition. These findings add to the growing evidence that good mood, intuition, creativity, gullibility, and increased reliance on System 1 form a cluster. At the other pole, sadness, vigilance, suspicion, an analytic approach, and increased effort also go together. A happy mood loosens the control of System 2 over performance: when in a good mood, people become more intuitive and more creative but also less vigilant and more prone to logical errors.

  Daniel Kahneman

  Sadness, Creativity, Errors

  Daniel Kahneman (2011). “Thinking, Fast and Slow”, p.69, Macmillan

• The evidence is unequivocal, there's a great deal more luck than skill in people getting very rich.

  Daniel Kahneman

  Skills, People, Luck

• To know whether you can trust a particular intuitive judgment, there are two questions you should ask: Is the environment in which the judgment is made sufficiently regular to enable predictions from the available evidence? The answer is yes for diagnosticians, no for stock pickers. Do the professionals have an adequate opportunity to learn the cues and the regularities? The answer here depends on the professionals' experience and on the quality and speed with which they discover their mistakes.

  Daniel Kahneman

  Mistake, Opportunity, Two

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